Futures

tf/futures

Futures contracts, commodities, index futures, and macro trading.

5 members3 postsCreated about 2 months ago

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Posted by u/commodity_chris•about 2 months ago

Gold at $2,400 — is it too late to get in?

Gold broke all records and everyone's wondering if it's over or just getting started.Arguments for continuation:Central banks (China, India, Turkey) buying massively — 1,200 tonnes in 2025, all-time recordDe-dollarization slow but real post-Russia sanctionsReal rates declining = positive for goldGeopolitics unstable everywhereArguments for a pullback:Monthly RSI at 78 — overboughtRetail piling in (contrarian bearish)Opportunity cost with rates at 5%Long 10 GC contracts from $2,280. Target $2,600, stop $2,320.

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156

Posted by u/commodity_chris•about 2 months ago

Nat gas: the summer seasonal setup is here — historical data and plan

Natural gas has one of the most reliable seasonal patterns in commodities. Historically:Seasonal bottom between mid-March and mid-April (injection season start)Rally from June to September (AC demand + pre-winter buildup)Average return from spring bottom to summer top: +35% over 15 years of dataThis year the setup is even better:Inventories at -8% vs the 5-year averageLNG exports up 20% with new terminalsProduction flat as producers cut back after the crash to $1.50 in FebruaryLong NG at $2.15, target $3.20, stop $1.85.

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198

Posted by u/newbie_investor•about 2 months ago

What are futures and why do people say they're better than stocks for day trading?

I've been day trading stocks for 6 months and I keep hearing people talk about switching to futures — specifically ES and NQ. They say no PDT rule, better tax treatment, and you can trade almost 24 hours.But futures seem intimidating. One contract of ES is like $250 per point? What if it moves 20 points against me — that's $5,000 gone? How do you even manage risk on that?Can someone explain the practical pros and cons vs stocks? And how much capital do you actually need to start trading futures safely?

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