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SPY5,248.32+0.35%
QQQ18,432.10+0.52%
BTC98,420+1.27%
ETH3,812-1.10%
NVDA952.30+1.36%
AAPL178.42-1.19%
TSLA168.90+2.62%
EUR/USD1.0892-0.21%
GC2,342.50+0.36%
CL82.15+1.17%
SOL178.50+3.36%
DXY104.82+0.14%
ST

Stocks

tf/stocks

US and international equities, fundamental analysis, earnings plays, and long-term investing.

6 members4 postsCreated about 2 months ago
387
Posted by u/macro_man1 min read

Full analysis: Why the market is underestimating Mercado Libre in 2026

Due Diligence

Spent 3 weeks digging through MELI's financials. It's the Amazon + PayPal of Latin America and the market prices it as a simple e-commerce player.Bull CaseFintech Mercado Pago: 52M active users, +45% YoY. The real growth engine. Consumer credit booming in Brazil and Mexico.Logistics: Own fulfillment in 6 countries. Next-day delivery in major Brazilian cities. Massive competitive moat.Advertising: Ads segment at $2.1B annualized, margins >70%. This is the next Retail Media play like Amazon.ValuationAt $1,850 — we're at 28x forward earnings for 35% revenue growth. US comps trade at 40-50x for less growth. My target: $2,600 in 18 months.Position: 45 shares @ $1,720 avg.

6 Comments
203
Posted by u/trader_mike

AMD is quietly stealing server market share — anyone following this closely?

Q1 results dropped and AMD posted 80% growth in the data center segment. EPYC Turin is selling like hotcakes and hyperscalers are seriously diversifying away from Intel.What I'm watching:Server market share went from 18% to 24% in one yearMI300X is starting to find its place against the H100Gross margin expanding for the 6th consecutive quarterI'm holding 350 shares bought at $148, not moving. Valuation is still reasonable compared to NVDA at 35x forward.

6 Comments
112
Posted by u/chart_wizard

Microsoft just lost its biggest military cloud contract to AWS

The $14.5B JEDI II Pentagon contract was just awarded to Amazon. Microsoft loses a structurally important deal.Sell volume up 2x this morning. The issue isn't just this contract, it's the signal: Azure is losing ground in the public sector.Anyone else worried about Azure growth slowing to 26%? We were at 35% four quarters ago.

4 Comments
467
Posted by u/newbie_investor

What actually counts as insider trading? My coworker says he traded on a "tip" and I'm worried for him

My coworker works at a biotech company. He overheard his manager talking about a drug approval that hasn't been announced yet, then bought a bunch of call options the same day. He told me about it like it was no big deal.Is this textbook insider trading? What are the actual consequences if the SEC catches you? And how DO they catch people — like do they monitor every single trade? I'm genuinely concerned for this guy but also want to make sure I don't get implicated just for knowing about it.

5 Comments